NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41842111c1d609214aa7d06c14bfd52e18587396bd786e0df361cd32c9b49b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d39…9755backed Under | 50c | 10,180$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…6265backed Over | 50c | 9,482$4,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 6,778$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,084.35 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.01 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.99 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 4,823$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.22 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 51c | 3,515$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.5 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,634$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,506$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 49c | 1,397$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 920.65$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 850.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 788$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 355.92$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 46c | 178.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 100.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 88.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 53c | 80.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 58c | 79.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 76.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 52c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Under | 50c | 52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 31.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 49c | 31.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 29.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…985dbacked Under | 77c | 22.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…4ecdbacked Over | 67c | 19.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.