NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b29c052bfd3ac35f05a25c64554888c3f0c8b3ffdbacd3ff5d709c3bc5fcc3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Under | 57c | 180,000$102,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 43c | 179,816$77,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,325.93 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 4,406$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.78 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 43c | 1,764$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.54 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 54c | 1,626$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.2 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 51c | 1,528$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.23 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,256$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 2c | 830$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Under | 57c | 670.09$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.16 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 657.55$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…0a17backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 283.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 273.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Under | 30c | 243$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over | 44c | 130.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 42c | 130.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 65.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…c801backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…b116backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 47.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 51c | 35.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…2fe0backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Over | 44c | 26.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…bd11backed Under | 57c | 23.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…276fbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Pacers won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Pacers won
- Pacers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.