Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1faf90af88cdf79fa1fe639723b5eccad3f64a180ab2c50a8ece92ac4f3a079b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,788 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,547$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…cef9backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 38c | 1,107$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.92 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…8f23backed No | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.11 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 7c | 699.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 534.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 463.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 4c | 442.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 9cpaid | +324.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 365.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 70c | 354.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 67c | 310.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 25c | 256.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked No | 40c | 250.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 195.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 42c | 154.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 46c | 148.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 70c | 143.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 139.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 32c | 95.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 68c | 87.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed No | 54c | 73.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed No | 55c | 42.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 54c | 38.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 59c | 34.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 54c | 32.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 25.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 63c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 54c | 21.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.