TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes66c5,249$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.7466837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.9931643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No34c3,995$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.1319742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes65c3,664$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Yes79c2,888$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c2,541$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.561,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No34c2,205$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed No34c1,970$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.079244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No4c1,932$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed No3c1,556$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1911025.5%28 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No27c1,409$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes47c1,151$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.5523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34021366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No5c757.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.245,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.582347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No42c627.41$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.996735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked No2c580.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.625834.5%20 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No2c573.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.476331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c528.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.823,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes66c515$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.031,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No32c450.09$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0311143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No3c375$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9211328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No34c350$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No32c297.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3717051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb550…2799backed No35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No38c239.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No23c236.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c234.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.293,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c178.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.862,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.938139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No34c152.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.717856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No43c139.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes40c129$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4512331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No34c124.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1814149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes46c120.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7530231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No46c120.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.531,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.825345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No32c106.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No38c106$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.284847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No47c103.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c102.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.18,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes40c99.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.998452.4%44 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No35c99.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.816349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes62c91.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7642462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.559158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No60c89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.41,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304856.3%27 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed No46c84.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.473467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked No32c84.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.334259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No34c75.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6816751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No63c69.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No34c68.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No37c68.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No45c66.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.228937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No47c61.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes55c60.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2363…12b2backed Yes51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+124.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes60c58.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.292544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf050…99cfbacked Yes41c58.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+127.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No42c51.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6411155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No35c50.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7511640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd5…ecbebacked No35c48.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No34c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.981,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c0…00d7backed Yes67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4810966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No34c41.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.984858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No34c39.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.319040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa370…c920backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c37.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2529653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes55c34.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4130847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No50c33.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No48c31.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1916459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8b…b723backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3229…4299backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes67c27.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes65c26.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.374148.8%20 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…93f9backed No46c25.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.816845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Yes66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf2…15adbacked Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf1d…9591backed Yes64c19.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.024151.2%21 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48f0…810bbacked Yes66c18.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…85adbacked Yes66c18.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.142339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.