South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf536a074f30eb993b0bf132bf67dd36212a2d34ebdbd336833eb5069d212fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 11,931$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.72 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 55c | 3,105$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.92 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 55c | 1,750$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 1,629$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 904.83$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.81 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 49c | 803.89$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Over | 25c | 386.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 54c | 283.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 192.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 179.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 177.02$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 47c | 134.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 44c | 131.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 56c | 131.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 23c | 121.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 110.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…614abacked Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 43c | 83.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed Over | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 76.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 44c | 66.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 56c | 61.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 65c | 56.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6backed Under | 44c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 56c | 52.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 52.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…e908backed Under | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 56c | 31.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 48c | 30.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 30.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 57c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 46c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Under | 45c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.