South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1755e15572acd811e2675f66f42ecd9fcae2a10335f50432f791c885376196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 822.5$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 724.77$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 73c | 656.62$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 499.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 35c | 481.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 327.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 293.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 36c | 267.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 34c | 204.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 188.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.09 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 71c | 179.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 43c | 179.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 27c | 174.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 172.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 28c | 149.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 71c | 147.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 29c | 144.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 29c | 144.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 140.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 98.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 81.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 29c | 72.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 69.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 29c | 62.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 71c | 62.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 24c | 53.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 28c | 49.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…db1abacked Over | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 47.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 28c | 42.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Huracán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.