Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ef6c59e4465aec1a147aa8fffcc6a02d9d66c573ec214d67e093b40ad22ab12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 79c | 5,551$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.7 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 4,145$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.94 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 38c | 2,635$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.73 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…be52backed Yes | 5c | 1,975$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +188.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 16c | 1,899$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.73 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 1,819$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.59 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,441$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.99 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Yes | 27c | 1,095$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.89 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 4c | 987.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.61 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 6c | 940$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.74 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 17c | 935.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.13 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 807.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.77 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 4c | 800.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.08 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 77c | 655.4$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.87 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 16c | 627.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.01 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 22c | 559$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.02 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…9e69backed Yes | 62c | 487.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 6c | 344.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.29 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 4c | 335.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.06 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 30c | 331.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes | 4c | 302.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…2224backed Yes | 53c | 279.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…2074backed Yes | 24c | 273.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.41 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 40c | 252.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 14c | 242.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 16c | 177.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 22c | 142.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 8c | 127.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 124.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0a…e9c8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe218…860dbacked Yes | 39c | 93.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…eaf2backed Yes | 52c | 81.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Yes | 19c | 78.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 14c | 75.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked Yes | 27c | 56.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 54c | 51.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Yes | 47c | 42.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 28c | 35.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 18.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?this page
- Curaçao to score first vs. Ecuador?No won
- Ecuador to score first vs. Curaçao?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.