Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador to score first vs. Curaçao?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9683e9a2eec008390a9c8a057242c8b79df39c1f25a721ea4a2d2f4ca0af222d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 18c | 1,819$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.02 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 1,731$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.58 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 63c | 1,244$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.19 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 26c | 990.83$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.9 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 18c | 923.94$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.15 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 14c | 778.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.84 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 18c | 775$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.5 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 16c | 615.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 15c | 554.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.72 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 20c | 521.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 273.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9946…0696backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 212.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 28c | 206.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…be17backed Yes | 79c | 169.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 13c | 164.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 15c | 136.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 68c | 130$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 17c | 100.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 71c | 93.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 20c | 66.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…7137backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 50.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f125backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 30.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…2d96backed Yes | 76c | 30.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…b581backed Yes | 75c | 26.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…2feabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…25c1backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Yes | 79c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador to score first vs. Curaçao?this page
- Curaçao to score first vs. Ecuador?No won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.