TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,410 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8542…4fc5backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers53c7,609$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Furman Paladins48c5,555$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.592,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c4,614$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.4521149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Furman Paladins47c2,481$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.612,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.974551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins47c1,902$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.2512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Furman Paladins49c1,690$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.6527947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Furman Paladins49c1,517$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.787951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins52c1,160$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.115,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers5c1,108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2925829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers3c1,053$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.291,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Furman Paladins49c1,005$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.717048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c979.37$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4563551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers38c955.25$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.515,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c761.91$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.575752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Furman Paladins51c710.73$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.362,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Furman Paladins67c518.35$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.133,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Furman Paladins63c437.42$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.335763.2%36 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Furman Paladins49c421.26$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3526749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Furman Paladins50c417.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.437655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Furman Paladins53c387.59$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2721955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Furman Paladins49c360.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.971,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers34c346.27$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.418130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers41c345.39$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.053855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers12c318.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c294.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers29c255.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.91,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Furman Paladins68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Furman Paladins48c240$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.833445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers53c206.67$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0430853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Furman Paladins49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1723754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c198.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.099347.3%44 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Furman Paladins50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.732,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c178.59$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers17c174.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9825337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Furman Paladins71c166.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.356858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893d…d65bbacked Furman Paladins80c147.76$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-54.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers22c146.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Furman Paladins56c135.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2622640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Furman Paladins51c129.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.694,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c125.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.411,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Furman Paladins47c123.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c5c…f9f5backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers33c120.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c120.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4524649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers16c117.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Furman Paladins78c116.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Furman Paladins51c116.4$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0464647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Furman Paladins48c103.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0182846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.567450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Furman Paladins77c89.32$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.594860.4%29 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers50c84.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7530054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers26c80.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.141,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Furman Paladins77c79.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Furman Paladins66c74.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.371,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Furman Paladins69c70.9$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.933056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Furman Paladins67c60.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0757655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers35c52.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.359153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Furman Paladins48c50.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6218644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Furman Paladins49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers52c45.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.432653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…9200backed Furman Paladins48c44.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e6…c602backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers49c44.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.73933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Furman Paladins48c41.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.484334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e75…19b2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers34c40.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa081…77e6backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers53c37.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…44a2backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers53c37.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.634845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Furman Paladins72c35.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104045%18 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Furman Paladins49c34.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.832755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Furman Paladins61c31.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.112365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c28.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5211243.8%49 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Furman Paladins76c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.286100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers51c23.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.918439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.