Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844903a1ee87ffca758b51cd0016bc13462619576f27ffe2a25f55d1a1c6b69d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 61,544$31,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,746.27 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 50c | 9,630$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.81 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 52c | 6,313$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.43 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 5,500$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 53c | 5,097$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.43 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Over | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 3,069$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.43 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,593$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 2,276$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.27 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 47c | 2,272$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.11 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.99 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.2 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 48c | 1,397$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.68 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…a1f8backed Over | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 52c | 576.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 248.17$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Over | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 52c | 191.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 181.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 53c | 178.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 156.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 122$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 60.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 48c | 58.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 49c | 58.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 53c | 50.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 53c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 48c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 148.5this page
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
- Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Massachusetts Minutemen (-1.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.