Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b8cf1452e143cb722c8d67f514bbf16bf1bd5a1a6d535eff4f3cec4d59cb73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 93,570$47,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,529.44 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 35,000$17,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,250 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 51c | 19,883$10,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,742.68 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255.12 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 16,683$8,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,452.68 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 15,205$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,523.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 15,000$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 51c | 4,639$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.44 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 4,255$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.74 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,935$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.18 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 49c | 1,589$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.83 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 1,330$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 764.01$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 752.87$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 45c | 666.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.84 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 446$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.54 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…20eebacked Over | 48c | 349.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 49c | 343.63$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 209.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Under | 52c | 191.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 51c | 136.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 125.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 112.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 51c | 80.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 59.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Under | 51c | 55.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 51.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Over | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 50c | 40.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 52c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 32.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 50c | 30.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…51a8backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 55c | 27.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 50c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 51c | 20.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 50c | 20.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 155.5this page
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-3.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-4.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana HoosiersIndiana Hoosiers won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.