Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Portland Pilots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2abf6f39baf01017061492b995bd0898d8ea87637615ae9eb04f2502780d0e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Pilotsof Seattle Redhawks, Portland Pilots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Portland Pilots | 35c | 3,566$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 68c | 1,847$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.34 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 1,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Portland Pilots | 79c | 1,140$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 1,124$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.32 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Seattle Redhawks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 6c | 999.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland Pilots | 29c | 839.57$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 699.99$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Portland Pilots | 32c | 651.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.12 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 644.34$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Portland Pilots | 35c | 485.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.62 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 379.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 365.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 354.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Portland Pilots | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 68c | 331$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 300.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Portland Pilots | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Seattle Redhawks | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 281.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.58 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Portland Pilots | 46c | 256$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland Pilots | 58c | 225.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Portland Pilots | 44c | 200.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Seattle Redhawks | 69c | 200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 164.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 57c | 137.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Portland Pilots | 41c | 132.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Portland Pilots | 39c | 127.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Portland Pilots | 30c | 118.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Portland Pilots | 57c | 118.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Seattle Redhawks | 67c | 111$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Portland Pilots | 38c | 105.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Pilots | 44c | 104$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Seattle Redhawks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Portland Pilots | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Portland Pilots | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Pilots | 27c | 97.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots | 39c | 78.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Portland Pilots | 38c | 64.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Pilots | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 51.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Seattle Redhawks | 47c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Portland Pilots | 56c | 45.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Seattle Redhawks | 46c | 43.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Seattle Redhawks | 56c | 40.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Portland Pilots | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Portland Pilots | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Redhawks | 57c | 33.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…6c5ebacked Portland Pilots | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Seattle Redhawks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Seattle Redhawks | 51c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Portland Pilots | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Seattle Redhawks | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Portland Pilotsthis page
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 141.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-3.5)Portland Pilots won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.