South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x386aff0c67210e48b8cdb4c481add04d6a079092a4a077e61b9274b61062d75a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 36c | 11,510$4,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.11 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 10,333$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.47 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,872$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 920.57$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.16 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 660.29$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.35 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 53c | 349.87$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Over | 38c | 265.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 264.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 186.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 68c | 85.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 49c | 43.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Under | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 59c | 25.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Under | 64c | 17.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.