TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,856 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks79c23,659$18,672 inWon+$4,986.4364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x531b…32b6backed Spurs21c20,949$4,399 inLost-$4,399.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs26c10,578$2,750 inLost-$2,7509725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks73c4,000$2,920 inWon+$1,08042842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks77c2,619$2,029 inWon+$590.4325352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks74c2,314$1,709 inWon+$604.72,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs28c2,000$560 inLost-$559.9916633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs21c1,400$294 inLost-$2941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks72c1,365$983 inWon+$382.311,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194a…25d5backed Knicks77c1,014$784 inWon+$229.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs22c708.75$156 inLost-$156.195435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks72c586$422 inWon+$164.082,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Knicks79c569.62$450 inWon+$119.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick71cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs21c499.99$105 inLost-$10510049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks77c481.37$369 inWon+$112.511,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks78c385.07$300 inWon+$85.0813161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs22c380$84 inLost-$83.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks77c322.67$250 inWon+$72.6711258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Knicks70c300$210 inWon+$9013947.5%66 W · 73 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Spurs24c237.5$57 inLost-$5710843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs17c235$40 inLost-$39.9516429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks77c216.98$167 inWon+$49.9125554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f52…0380backed Knicks69c200$138 inWon+$622055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1e…f28bbacked Knicks79c187.82$148 inWon+$39.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs23c181.36$42 inLost-$41.711,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked Spurs22c178.64$39 inLost-$39.35244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs22c133.42$30 inLost-$29.861,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks74c120$89 inWon+$31.225954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs23c100$23 inLost-$22.9518643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Spurs15c81.98$12 inLost-$12.2925045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs23c58$13 inLost-$13.2918445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Knicks72c48.58$35 inWon+$13.67360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs23c43.48$10 inLost-$1040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Knicks76c30$23 inWon+$7.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d5…2b39backed Knicks78c26$20 inWon+$5.721485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+54.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks78c24.88$19 inWon+$5.4784443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Knicks78c19.31$15 inWon+$4.319355.9%52 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Knicks77c15$11 inWon+$3.5310757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014e…f880backed Knicks76c14$11 inWon+$3.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Knicks79c13.25$10 inWon+$2.787062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.