Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b83a0403ff41d3d54c7749ae59969d6c8617a31c4de37297c718baf9f72acfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Hazem SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 56c | 549.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Hazem SC | 44c | 352.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.11 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Al Hazem SC | 35c | 243.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Al Hazem SC | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 64c | 155.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 53c | 138.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Hazem SC | 36c | 113.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 52c | 101.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Hazem SC | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Al Hazem SC | 36c | 94.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 75c | 50.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Hazem SC | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Hazem SC | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Hazem SC | 24c | 44.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Al Hazem SC | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 64c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 65c | 31.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.