TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c44,923$26,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,160.8564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under42c33,583$14,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,478.221,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under41c8,051$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,710.9555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under17c5,700$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.551,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over58c4,740$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.1425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c3,837$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under37c3,644$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.861,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under42c3,213$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over64c2,139$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.0819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,657$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c946.27$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.272,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over78c891$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.9618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under68c886.7$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under9c861$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.591,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under53c756.04$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.0495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Over2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531951.1%163 W · 156 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003256.3%18 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over69c614.54$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.067146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under42c552.3$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.6625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c529.81$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under41c455.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.763964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over46c413.95$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19052861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Under38c390.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Over3c375$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under27c362.59$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6918557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under27c357.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.076038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over57c307.88$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4915650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9835…f8fdbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c276.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Over57c275.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under16c250.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.324431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over18c225.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1988…a534backed Over58c224.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303650%18 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over58c220.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.910843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over58c209.26$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3715759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under35c206.79$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4132654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under37c200.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Under36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11618653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11414338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over62c187$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.945349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under57c186.63$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over57c176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.321,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c174.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7292…15aabacked Over58c170.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over57c170.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9430448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under30c162.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Over43c152.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c149$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under42c140$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under26c131.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.193333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under25c125$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.759956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.622453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under55c118.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Under68c113.29$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.259061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over44c110.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.551,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over47c106.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8317237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under16c105.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9837652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under27c93.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1125150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Over73c91.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679537.9%36 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under22c91.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.285839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under41c82.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over41c73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under58c72.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.989853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over49c67.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0114860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under42c62.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2526651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over71c60.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over41c54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c53.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over47c53.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.166636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over80c53.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over47c45.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1921953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6571752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Over44c44.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over47c40.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under33c40.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0312150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ace…9ababacked Over76c39.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…591abacked Under43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over58c29.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over46c29.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcae7…f4cdbacked Over72c25.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Over62c22.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over69c20.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3923833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45b5…f2adbacked Over58c20.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.