Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e831a180e2e0db5ae0aa1dced1b5770baf72bea27ab8134f78d58d63c7331e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,172$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,766$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,238$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 948.57$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.55 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 27c | 729.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.63 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 44c | 627.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 523.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 26c | 290$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 43c | 139$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 57c | 119.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 27c | 110.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…7863backed Over | 47c | 106.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 38c | 103.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 52c | 96.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 91.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 63c | 84.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 30c | 65.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 45c | 61.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 39c | 60.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 57.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 53c | 56.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Over | 58c | 52.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 48.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 44.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 36c | 42.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 75c | 40.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 27.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 74c | 17.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.