Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9de9e51277eaf7a0ab3988dfcb4dc281a9d2d51da3707d0bb5202b8c5121039f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 5,523$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 42c | 3,397$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.43 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,845$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 21c | 694.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 522.73$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 19c | 380.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Under | 20c | 340.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 327.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 80c | 320$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 24c | 259.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 16c | 254$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 217.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 12c | 183.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…5234backed Over | 56c | 178.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 14c | 176.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 17c | 136.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 126.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 31c | 118.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 80c | 92.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 18c | 82.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 78c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 51.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 26c | 46.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 44.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 62c | 44.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 63c | 39.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 63c | 31.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 28.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Over | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 78c | 21.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 62c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…a8bbbacked Over | 75c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)Feyenoord Rotterdam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.