Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e015a96e4e7dcda920771a222bbe79656af7e0a8bb67b62a3b6c8d1b0a3be2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 1,132$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 1,018$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 950.29$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 540.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 39c | 509.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 331.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 45c | 146.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 64c | 135.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Under | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 72.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 68.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 61c | 64.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 50.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 44.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.