Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd17ca71a2ab2186600da1d997074184e31317d001507c5ca01ef1b79f629dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 5,479$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 5,459$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 38c | 3,865$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 76c | 2,861$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.63 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 15c | 2,794$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.59 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 28c | 2,413$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 42c | 2,000$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.83 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Under | 53c | 1,554$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Under | 65c | 1,536$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 1,420$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.51 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 38c | 1,319$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Over | 45c | 482.22$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 416.78$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.83 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 349.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 67c | 324$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.74 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 24c | 289.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.84 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 66c | 265.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 244.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 63c | 236.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 187.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 185.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Under | 61c | 182$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 162$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 66c | 151.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 36c | 147.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 24c | 134$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 35c | 112.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 37c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 88.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 24c | 81.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 75c | 76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 76c | 75.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Over | 32c | 75.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe80d…480abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 67.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 17c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +169.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…4461backed Over | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…32b2backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 64c | 44.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 34c | 44.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 41.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 64c | 29.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 64c | 28.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ba81backed Over | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…4ebebacked Under | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 63c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 64c | 24.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 48c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…7a07backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 57c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 61c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.