South American Leagues · resolved market
América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97dbe26fe4c0b39a4b2b89f248eb99f0a0e998098dbf398987c73cf1cd0edad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 72c | 878.4$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.94 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 631.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 328.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 327.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 210.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 56c | 157.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 73c | 100.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 73c | 98.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 72c | 70.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 28c | 70.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 39c | 68.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 63c | 48.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 73c | 45.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 37c | 43.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 38c | 38.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 63c | 30.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 22.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd1…0604backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5this page
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)América de Cali won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.