South American Leagues · resolved market
América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3c46d10846d82500111bc1247557406cd44c125157feaa569f7de17b7574166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 46c | 9,046$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.77 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.82 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 4,247$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 3,694$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.24 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 3,002$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.98 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 45c | 554.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 42c | 499.12$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.39 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 62c | 380.19$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 51c | 349.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.88 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 35c | 283.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 280.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 50c | 209.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 35c | 205.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 37c | 199.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 50c | 199.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 63c | 197.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.07 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Under | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 60c | 167.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 55c | 126.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 38c | 124.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 20c | 124$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 41c | 119.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 37c | 106.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 51c | 75.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 34c | 57.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…a62cbacked Over | 54c | 53.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1db…fdb0backed Over | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 32c | 40.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 37c | 38.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 59c | 32.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 62c | 32.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 42c | 26.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -16.3wins | -0.36per pick | 43cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 62c | 22.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 63c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5this page
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- América de Cali vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: América de Cali (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)América de Cali won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.