Tennis · resolved market
Hamburg: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a903b2e8c24237f7ba4b2969c61b0e014052a0cc56adc67d2dd98aebd03476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matej Dodigof Saba Purtseladze, Matej Dodig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Saba Purtseladze | 14c | 12,038$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.3 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 11,059$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 2,207$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 2,149$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Saba Purtseladze | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Saba Purtseladze | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Saba Purtseladze | 1c | 1,283$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Matej Dodig | 79c | 1,014$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 792.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 696.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Saba Purtseladze | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Saba Purtseladze | 18c | 457.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 453$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 436$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Saba Purtseladze | 6c | 342.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Saba Purtseladze | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 245.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…6951backed Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 241.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 227.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Saba Purtseladze | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 183.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 178$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…e932backed Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 141.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe780…055bbacked Saba Purtseladze | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 122.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…3ea9backed Saba Purtseladze | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…0af9backed Saba Purtseladze | 13c | 115.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…e104backed Saba Purtseladze | 13c | 115.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Saba Purtseladze | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Saba Purtseladze | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Saba Purtseladze | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Saba Purtseladze | 19c | 89.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 14c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Saba Purtseladze | 19c | 75.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Saba Purtseladze | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matej Dodig | 75c | 28.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamburg: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej Dodigthis page
- Hamburg: Completed Match: Saba Purtseladze vs Matej DodigNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.