Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd0244f2dddaffdbb7f391a725e4fd7b4ecb640a9784c538d02ec0ad3059bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof LOS, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed RED Canids | 53c | 1,361$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.1 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed RED Canids | 57c | 1,198$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed RED Canids | 51c | 1,091$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.41 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed RED Canids | 52c | 743$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked LOS | 45c | 661.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.28 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed RED Canids | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed LOS | 49c | 550$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed LOS | 44c | 456.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed LOS | 46c | 435.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed LOS | 47c | 426.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.7 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6193backed LOS | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked RED Canids | 53c | 400.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.15 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed RED Canids | 45c | 388.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.33 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed RED Canids | 58c | 379.4$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 269 | 50.9%137 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked LOS | 45c | 331.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.65 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LOS | 56c | 330.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.46 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked RED Canids | 57c | 318.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed RED Canids | 56c | 310.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 396 | 51%202 W · 194 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked RED Canids | 55c | 309.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked LOS | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked LOS | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked RED Canids | 54c | 299.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked LOS | 44c | 271.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed RED Canids | 51c | 226.58$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…f266backed LOS | 45c | 222.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…1a8dbacked LOS | 46c | 221.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LOS | 44c | 219.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…f8bcbacked LOS | 46c | 217.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf24…8a7ebacked LOS | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed LOS | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked RED Canids | 51c | 196.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked LOS | 45c | 179.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked RED Canids | 9c | 175.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed RED Canids | 51c | 135.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked RED Canids | 52c | 135.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked RED Canids | 17c | 135.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed LOS | 48c | 134.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed RED Canids | 54c | 117.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LOS | 66c | 100.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed RED Canids | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 254 | 41.7%106 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed LOS | 48c | 83.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked LOS | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked LOS | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked LOS | 77c | 72.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed RED Canids | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RED Canids | 54c | 65.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed RED Canids | 54c | 55.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked RED Canids | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed LOS | 46c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed LOS | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked RED Canids | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked LOS | 64c | 40.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed RED Canids | 50c | 40.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 388 | 45.4%176 W · 212 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked RED Canids | 58c | 39.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked LOS | 28c | 39.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…2ca6backed LOS | 49c | 36.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…96ccbacked LOS | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked RED Canids | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked RED Canids | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed LOS | 73c | 29.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed LOS | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked RED Canids | 50c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 208 | 67.3%140 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked LOS | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked LOS | 63c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LOS vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: LOS vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.