Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8904223a5c3cf0f2b7804dc9def639dbd16e40c3a3a51cb3e4cb149a3f4cf3e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Sentinels | 45c | 49,830$22,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,423.51 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Sentinels | 31c | 20,085$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268.18 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 15,065$10,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.05 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sentinels | 13c | 5,897$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.03 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 4,840$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.59 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 2,545$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels | 23c | 1,906$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.72 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Sentinels | 22c | 1,741$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels | 43c | 1,644$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.46 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Sentinels | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 35c | 1,304$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.86 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,240$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.58 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Sentinels | 53c | 1,116$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Sentinels | 26c | 1,104$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,058$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.12 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 1,051$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Sentinels | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 100 Thieves | 74c | 897.34$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 807.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 100 Thieves | 68c | 793.23$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 740.85$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked 100 Thieves | 48c | 718.68$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Sentinels | 41c | 522.35$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.17 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Sentinels | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Sentinels | 31c | 458.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.12 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 442.58$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Sentinels | 44c | 372.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 346.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels | 34c | 342.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sentinels | 21c | 335.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 326.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sentinels | 42c | 317.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels | 39c | 313.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.48 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 310.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 303.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Sentinels | 12c | 295.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015f…d051backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 289.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 20c | 262.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Sentinels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 237.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 216.64$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 198.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Sentinels | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Sentinels | 37c | 189.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 186$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Sentinels | 16c | 183.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sentinels | 50c | 176.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sentinels | 27c | 176.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 175.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sentinels | 13c | 157.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Sentinels | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 45c | 145.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sentinels | 30c | 145$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 131.34$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked 100 Thieves | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 118.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Sentinels | 23c | 117.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sentinels | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Sentinels | 51c | 97.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sentinels | 27c | 97.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Sentinels | 43c | 94.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 92.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 90.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels | 42c | 81.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Sentinels | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 68.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 65.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 64.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 30c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…d8eabacked Sentinels | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked Sentinels | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Sentinels | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Sentinels | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels | 35c | 40.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 36.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Sentinels | 41c | 35.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Sentinels | 44c | 34.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…028abacked Sentinels | 66c | 30.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)Sentinels won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.