Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eeef9dbca937217d7bc8ad458232fe052b36713db46277a66132eff3be23d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Sentinels | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.95 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sentinels | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.18 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,314$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 923.42$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.14 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +520.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 888$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 884.1$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.32 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 666.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 666.31$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 661.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Sentinels | 59c | 505.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sentinels | 58c | 446.79$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.65 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 287.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 263.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Sentinels | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 236$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 223.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 210.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 116.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 105.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Sentinels | 57c | 69.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.4wins | +0.27per pick | 47cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 59c | 61.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Sentinels | 55c | 44.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Sentinels | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Sentinels | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Sentinels | 55c | 39.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.