TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,669
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,669 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Sentinels33c70,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,9005530.9%17 W · 38 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves67c60,380$40,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,324.7254851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves67c30,000$20,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,099.9924145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Sentinels37c21,851$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,850.2226650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 100 Thieves60c21,435$12,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,780.6640945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sentinels21c8,968$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,048.3993649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels49c8,719$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,426.353455.2%295 W · 239 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed 100 Thieves71c6,010$4,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.0911747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels50c4,733$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.9156557.7%326 W · 239 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Sentinels42c4,287$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.6453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels31c3,929$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.7593248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sentinels29c3,124$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.1928742.9%123 W · 164 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves56c3,034$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.0168458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed 100 Thieves49c2,237$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.8113449.3%66 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sentinels57c2,101$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.9578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves65c1,524$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.4365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels47c1,263$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.756551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed 100 Thieves69c1,208$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.223348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed 100 Thieves30c1,034$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.784932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sentinels37c1,026$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.4194361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed 100 Thieves70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels29c798.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.3285138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves74c670$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.851849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels25c668.91$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.651,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Sentinels42c580.76$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7223836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Sentinels33c575.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.43425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f86…b91fbacked 100 Thieves69c573.01$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Sentinels33c500.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Sentinels33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33532047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Sentinels30c486.32$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.4996945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ed…b819backed Sentinels58c463.04$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.434060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves60c459.77$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.131,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Sentinels35c456$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.428847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Sentinels33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.558251.2%42 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed Sentinels14c400$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3444528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Sentinels25c392$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29414454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Sentinels33c376.88$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.5118940.7%77 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Sentinels37c347.11$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5422440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves28c342.12$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4160423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Sentinels31c323.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2333546.6%156 W · 179 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Sentinels39c322.71$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.457534.7%26 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Sentinels33c303.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.048748.3%42 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sentinels37c300$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1439047.9%187 W · 203 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed 100 Thieves72c250$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3230%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves57c246.82$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.681,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Sentinels33c227.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.267753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sentinels39c221.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2168949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Sentinels33c214.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.073066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Sentinels33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.123930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Sentinels34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13227850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves55c179.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.911,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4926…a3bfbacked 100 Thieves56c177.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2da4…31bfbacked 100 Thieves73c172.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Sentinels32c140.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.367655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves35c139$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0466638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked 100 Thieves70c129.46$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sentinels49c128$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0755637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed 100 Thieves67c119.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sentinels62c119$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.491,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1d…2717backed 100 Thieves57c116.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.571435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed Sentinels33c115.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4116031.3%50 W · 110 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Sentinels70c108.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.16867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Sentinels33c107.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.039145.1%41 W · 50 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Sentinels17c106.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…d384backed 100 Thieves65c105.31$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Sentinels38c104.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.537050%35 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels29c100.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.244441.9%186 W · 258 L-22.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Sentinels33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.114737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Sentinels33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677437.8%28 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e0…016abacked Sentinels32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.992737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b7…5f6bbacked 100 Thieves77c97.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510061%61 W · 39 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Sentinels26c97.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.917156.3%40 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Sentinels47c92.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0518254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed Sentinels45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.36373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sentinels77c89.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4689344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed 100 Thieves68c88.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 100 Thieves30c83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.946746.7%218 W · 249 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Sentinels16c80.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+516%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed 100 Thieves35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7510143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed 100 Thieves65c78.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5365347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed 100 Thieves51c77.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74aa…2c3fbacked Sentinels32c72.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.482536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed 100 Thieves57c61.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.958066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves50c59.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9181834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Sentinels36c55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Sentinels21c49.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.914652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed 100 Thieves66c46.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Sentinels72c41.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Sentinels26c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3451344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Sentinels32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.44755.3%26 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+37.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a9…67a0backed 100 Thieves67c37.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…1044backed 100 Thieves43c34.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.753834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves77c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8678344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Sentinels45c30.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0315153%80 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7121…bdb3backed 100 Thieves73c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked 100 Thieves62c26.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sentinels53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7791333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Sentinels45c24.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.446838.2%26 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed 100 Thieves70c21.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.044161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.