Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7acb103c84b53e8ed95e3d24db5bfa2abe9bb0a10576ca14f9d7019768cf5316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof SK Nebula, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff8…36dfbacked SK Nebula | 12c | 1,261$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 73c | 659.99$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked SK Nebula | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 16c | 345.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SK Nebula | 50c | 302.07$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed SK Nebula | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SK Nebula | 44c | 294.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked G2 Gozen | 49c | 278.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…0967backed G2 Gozen | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed SK Nebula | 28c | 181.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked G2 Gozen | 51c | 157.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…fbd4backed G2 Gozen | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 52c | 138.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula | 26c | 127$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed G2 Gozen | 51c | 123.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked G2 Gozen | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SK Nebula | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed SK Nebula | 50c | 85.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked G2 Gozen | 64c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SK Nebula | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Nebula | 50c | 73.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…6a1abacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 71.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…fdd2backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 66.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SK Nebula | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 28c | 59.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SK Nebula | 42c | 56.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed SK Nebula | 56c | 55.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SK Nebula | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SK Nebula | 30c | 44.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed SK Nebula | 51c | 43.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed SK Nebula | 50c | 41.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SK Nebula | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed SK Nebula | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…0359backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…f14fbacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 31.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked SK Nebula | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Gozen | 69c | 27.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 Gozen | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…8adfbacked G2 Gozen | 75c | 24.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked SK Nebula | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SK Nebula | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed SK Nebula | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed G2 Gozen | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.