Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc29e0c444e617653da74a1f8da3fcf1e2b586a4606700045e8f6e141325889f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOIof G2 Esports, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed G2 Esports | 44c | 15,041$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.06 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Movistar KOI | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.84 | 1,635 | 40.2%657 W · 978 L | +48.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Movistar KOI | 56c | 3,428$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.21 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 Esports | 36c | 1,200$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.75 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Movistar KOI | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 833.96$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.77 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 Esports | 22c | 755$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed G2 Esports | 41c | 669.93$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.67 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed G2 Esports | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…7b92backed G2 Esports | 52c | 288.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked G2 Esports | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Movistar KOI | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Movistar KOI | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 963 | 48.7%469 W · 494 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Movistar KOI | 48c | 196.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 170.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc148…85eabacked G2 Esports | 42c | 140$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed G2 Esports | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked G2 Esports | 43c | 117.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 42c | 114$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Movistar KOI | 70c | 105$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…7312backed G2 Esports | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 56c | 83.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…aab1backed Movistar KOI | 56c | 74.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 57c | 70.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked G2 Esports | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 Esports | 40c | 54.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked G2 Esports | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Movistar KOI | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Movistar KOI | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 648 | 46.5%301 W · 347 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Movistar KOI | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed G2 Esports | 44c | 49.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 42.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Movistar KOI | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 39.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed G2 Esports | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Movistar KOI | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.