Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658707f171fd7abb3ccaab5f6821c725275de0034c606cceff96dcbff804215a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 37c | 1,347$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.74 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 45c | 317.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 33c | 269.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 38c | 239.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 77c | 109.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 102.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 69.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 24c | 69.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 35c | 39.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 79c | 35.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 648 | 46.5%301 W · 347 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 55c | 26.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 54c | 23.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Over | 71c | 19.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Over | 63c | 18.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.