Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427419fc9d9395114c25b80d8aac50975203a9410298d9f41b705e7dd4da4a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twisted Minds Orchidof Twisted Minds Orchid, ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 78c | 3,286$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 15c | 1,306$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…9018backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 613.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 21c | 361$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 35c | 340.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 29c | 335$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 310.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 305.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 18c | 302$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 253.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 221.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 173.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 32c | 170.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 168$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 37c | 166.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 38c | 164$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 28c | 162.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 38c | 159.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 62c | 140.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…7b1bbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e2…40b6backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 17c | 89.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 35c | 83.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…868cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 74.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 38c | 52.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 35c | 50.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 49.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 26c | 45.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 64c | 31.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 29.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…7a72backed Twisted Minds Orchid | 65c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 WinnerTwisted Minds Orchid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.