TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x621c…3715backed Yes15c3,466$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c3,139$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.762,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes26c1,862$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.72634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes7c1,814$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.281250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c1,494$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.5313134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c1,032$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.968,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c1,021$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.571,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.46731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes25c798.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes26c735.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.125832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0c…62b3backed Yes26c731.4$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c638.65$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes21c618.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.861520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes24c469.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.64420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No75c419.74$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.795058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x683d…0415backed No76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes26c382.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.388831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c311.65$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes25c298.59$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.825724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Yes26c294.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No74c271.14$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.516653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No75c262.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No74c260.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.869854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Yes26c257.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.891540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes25c226$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.316020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-58.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes9c194.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2529362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes25c188.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.769545.3%43 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No75c186.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No75c186.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5428158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No75c186.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5412361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No75c184$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4621359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No75c183.14$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes21c177.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.337160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7348…d745backed Yes26c155.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes25c154.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.145345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes26c149.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.845322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4756…d776backed Yes26c147.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Yes26c139.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.313557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Yes26c132.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed No75c131.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.385156.9%29 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8318859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8317857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes25c111.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.925143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c110.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.543,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No74c106$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862d…a519backed Yes26c103.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2168…99fcbacked Yes26c98.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.711717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8818743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8810146.5%47 W · 54 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.882737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Yes24c88.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.281225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c87.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.262,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa2…653cbacked Yes26c86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c85.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes26c84.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0639127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes26c79.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7212439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c69.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3771619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes26c68.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.896415.6%10 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c66.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.361,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c65.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.162,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes25c57.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.332138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes25c57.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.337732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c9…3ecdbacked No76c57.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d5…eb36backed Yes25c55.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8146…fe66backed Yes26c55.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.331816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-62.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb074…a232backed Yes26c54.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No74c51.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes26c50.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.142737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No75c49.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.491,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cf…52d1backed No76c49.28$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed No77c48.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.363167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c46.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.361,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes25c41.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.194848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed No75c38.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked No75c38.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.542969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.788647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed No77c31.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.484158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No77c31.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3211863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No75c29.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c26.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.661,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d38…ef1cbacked No75c24.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1521…ae21backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52875%21 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xff5c…e379backed No77c19.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce10…6f4cbacked No76c18.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No76c17.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.126963.8%44 W · 25 L+0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed No76c15.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.792839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No76c15.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.83953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No75c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.928665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No76c14.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.598265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0155…a580backed No77c14.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dda…5e5bbacked No76c14.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bae…e81ebacked No75c13.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.