Cricket · resolved market
T20 Portugal Tri-Series: France vs Norway
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf3cf08352da7f0c78cfd605f92cd3f60e349a20e537887c0af0969d60777c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Norway | 13c | 1,106$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Norway | 17c | 699.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed France | 50c | 660.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed France | 47c | 518.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.07 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed Norway | 18c | 517.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Norway | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Norway | 19c | 435.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Norway | 5c | 318.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Norway | 16c | 290.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Norway | 16c | 251.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed France | 52c | 187.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Norway | 48c | 149.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Norway | 18c | 123.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Norway | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Norway | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…93e3backed Norway | 46c | 96.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…262ebacked Norway | 13c | 89.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3d…a26ebacked Norway | 54c | 86.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Norway | 19c | 80.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -9.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked France | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed France | 60c | 72.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Norway | 48c | 62.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Norway | 18c | 62.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Norway | 27c | 59.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Norway | 23c | 56.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Norway | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Norway | 47c | 41.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked France | 77c | 39.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Norway | 47c | 36.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Norway | 61c | 35.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked France | 74c | 26.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed France | 72c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.