South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e66dbcc6597e7a5444913c4e81192d6e7e4d6eb12df0d383c6136297af638ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 54c | 5,157$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.41 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 4,003$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 1,416$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.14 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 40c | 1,151$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.77 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 47c | 1,012$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 45c | 873.22$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 791.63$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.96 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 57c | 789.14$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 605.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 545.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.57 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 63c | 471$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 45c | 427.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 46c | 424.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 423.4$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 413.31$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 72c | 408.22$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 391.22$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 362$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.62 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…94fdbacked Under | 14c | 336.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 45c | 322.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 65c | 308.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 49c | 302.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 78c | 297.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.81 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 296$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 295.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 221$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 19c | 190.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 185.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 179$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 161.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…0c75backed Over | 51c | 156.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 139.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 37c | 117.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 110.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 97.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 58c | 87.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 42c | 78.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 52c | 71.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…427cbacked Under | 61c | 67.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…f903backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 46c | 64.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 63.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 42c | 54.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…9dedbacked Under | 59c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 48.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…5312backed Over | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 43.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 43c | 42.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…2ba1backed Over | 46c | 41.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 39c | 30.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 39c | 30.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 41c | 26.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…c84cbacked Over | 59c | 23.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 54c | 23.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 22.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 45c | 22.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 60c | 20.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.