South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060929a0d5cd3e819ee2a2ad0b8a3d129582c89c1a0ea5b9d2b5da06fe6e49b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 65c | 45,931$29,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,077.3 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 24,444$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,555.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 35c | 5,298$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.64 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 35c | 5,235$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.32 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 5,102$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 35c | 5,066$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.1 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 39c | 1,909$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 1,471$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 1,125$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 51c | 584$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.16 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Under | 64c | 582.01$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 566.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 34c | 527.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 35c | 523.54$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 436.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 359.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 30c | 299.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 38c | 257.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 35c | 221.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 210.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 36c | 165.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 66c | 151.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 35c | 143.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 67c | 120$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 35c | 114.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…2e93backed Over | 50c | 109.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 35c | 106.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…4c07backed Under | 59c | 103.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 39c | 88.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d8…d8a7backed Over | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 35c | 86.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…5b2dbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 82.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 62c | 75.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 52c | 66.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 66.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 35c | 64.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Under | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Over | 35c | 58.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over | 35c | 57.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 57.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 35c | 55.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 49.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 47.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Over | 31c | 46.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Under | 48c | 45.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 42.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 41.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 38c | 40.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 40.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Over | 28c | 36.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 62c | 35.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 32c | 35.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 35c | 31.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…1bf1backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 39c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…4b01backed Over | 38c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 63c | 26.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 62c | 22.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.