Other European Leagues · resolved market
AZ leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa318242dd97b75ec085ec8a020405ed434961d90ac40b1ad8aa886341dde18dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 11,784$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.45 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 44c | 4,770$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.56 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 2,506$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.03 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 512$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 487.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 45c | 387.53$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 284$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 273.68$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 218$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 54c | 190.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 44c | 184$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 46c | 159.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 119$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 29c | 108.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 29c | 65.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 65.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 46c | 46.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 44c | 41.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AZ leading at halftime?this page
- AZ vs. ADO Den Haag: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.