TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Over52c75,000$38,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,828.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c28,732$13,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,830.2216953.8%91 W · 78 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c10,707$5,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.315,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,437$3,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.837,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under40c4,743$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.447346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under49c3,612$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.173444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c3,314$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.6646044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c3,182$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.435844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30012564%80 W · 45 L+13.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under49c2,000$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.263455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under48c1,882$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.716446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,794$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.1585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under50c1,568$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7846861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Over50c1,538$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.232552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under63c1,441$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.631850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c1,423$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.112,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under48c1,355$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under48c1,353$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.771,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under48c1,232$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.663066.7%20 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under48c1,090$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.5823346.8%109 W · 124 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over33c1,035$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.52,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c1,000$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.9213265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c860$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.67338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c750.01$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.541,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.891952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c645.47$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2877350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30011254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under51c584.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.769348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under48c543.87$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0532436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c525.91$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8392043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under50c420.89$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.511,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c402.76$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.442,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under48c390$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.821151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under48c374.48$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.737470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Over21c368.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c365$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.826853.7%144 W · 124 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under48c290.4$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.014531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over60c268.64$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.698552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over51c258.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1329158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over71c217.89$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.091573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over59c217.35$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.221953.4%117 W · 102 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under54c212$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4229754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under51c205.01$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8512664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1028554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.071573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over51c183.94$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.59954.5%54 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over40c183$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.230963.1%195 W · 114 L+45.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c157.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2363849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over53c143.28$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.982479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+52.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over50c141.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.62673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over12c139$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under56c134$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4424466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over62c133$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c125.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1850146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over26c114.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6243721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5127246.3%126 W · 146 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over50c99.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Under42c99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under15c93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.057731.2%24 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+229.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Over49c93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked Under53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+58.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Over53c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.582669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c79.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a59…6961backed Over39c75.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.719165.4%125 W · 66 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.551356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under56c69.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6635163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.285545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under48c62.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.625853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c60.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.618756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over42c58.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521,24039.2%486 W · 754 L-35.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.021637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over62c53.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.915743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under48c52.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.358050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under48c52.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.117671.1%54 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.526051.5%134 W · 126 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.514435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under48c46.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.344055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under60c42.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9523747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.