South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba9cac64a014d2e51e5fa9abf7f8714a452b8466378f5ee77d5601326b34567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Santos Lagunaof CD Guadalajara, Club Santos Laguna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Santos Laguna | 69c | 7,308$5,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CD Guadalajara | 29c | 4,703$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.17 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Santos Laguna | 67c | 2,972$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.14 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 1,568$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.84 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 399.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked CD Guadalajara | 38c | 285$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CD Guadalajara | 14c | 233.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked CD Guadalajara | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked CD Guadalajara | 38c | 156$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Club Santos Laguna | 69c | 139.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Club Santos Laguna | 68c | 104.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Club Santos Laguna | 72c | 90.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Club Santos Laguna | 72c | 90.06$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Club Santos Laguna | 67c | 77.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Guadalajara | 22c | 70.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Club Santos Laguna | 70c | 66.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CD Guadalajara | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Club Santos Laguna | 72c | 46.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Club Santos Laguna | 61c | 46.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Club Santos Laguna | 71c | 44.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CD Guadalajara | 31c | 40.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Club Santos Laguna | 70c | 23.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Club Santos Laguna | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Club Santos Laguna | 66c | 16.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.