South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82035f33cb49eb14d9a2d66b33e3fd3ad1facb20023e0cd99400c1ae01ea528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 7,965$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 7,324$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.78 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 45c | 6,032$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.56 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 25c | 4,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 18c | 3,121$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.09 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 1,632$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,443$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 79c | 999.26$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.97 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 52c | 979.6$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.21 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 19c | 691.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.36 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 29c | 625.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 505.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 479.83$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 13c | 436.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 52c | 402.72$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Over | 49c | 393.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 340.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 78c | 260.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 236.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 49c | 224.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 57c | 222.49$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Under | 56c | 208.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 19c | 191.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 145.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 131$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 56c | 130.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 17c | 110.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 65c | 110.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 48c | 109.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 95.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 65c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 43c | 91.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 44c | 87.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 85.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 68c | 82.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 71c | 81.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 62c | 75.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 22c | 65.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 55c | 63.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 53.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d23…53d3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 33c | 45.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 44.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 71c | 41.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 39.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Over | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 54c | 36.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 62c | 28.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 66c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 21.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 58c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 18.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.