South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x223056ecde104d556bb84f4a65e310f765ff7d9fc12ce9b1c78d292d4ff359a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 20,708$14,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.32 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 9,004$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 6,630$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 4,986$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.02 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 4,425$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 58c | 3,472$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.03 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 39c | 3,032$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.96 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 58c | 1,214$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.18 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 1,128$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 796.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 58c | 501.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 40c | 339.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 39c | 335$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 219.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 20c | 211.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 58c | 166.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 58c | 166.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 20c | 141.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 58c | 128.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 61c | 94.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 29c | 90.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 57c | 84.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 58c | 84.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 59c | 83.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 26c | 68.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 31c | 43.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 58c | 41.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…4024backed Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 58c | 33.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 60c | 33.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 38c | 31.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 58c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 57c | 22.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.