Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e20ca7a50db1099af8876758715f1b85fd959b841d6a5909f04ae3c63aee71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Under | 39c | 50,303$19,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,570.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 10,543$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,082.52 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 10,493$6,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.8 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 61c | 3,337$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.34 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 61c | 2,209$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.59 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 61c | 1,568$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 61c | 1,539$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.17 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 1,044$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.75 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 925.07$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 61c | 554.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 61c | 512$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 38c | 358.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 62c | 301$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 62c | 301$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 62c | 301$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 61c | 276$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 62c | 252.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 61c | 194$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 61c | 193.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 61c | 186$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 71c | 183$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 63c | 160.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 143.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 61c | 108.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 61c | 80.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 61c | 69.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 61c | 68.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 63.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 61c | 61.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 62c | 56.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 61c | 50.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 61c | 47.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 61c | 42.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Over | 61c | 41.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 61c | 40.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 39.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 61c | 39.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 38c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 61c | 24.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Over | 63c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.