Mls · resolved market
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad7b67933e78cc4d0211d773c39f81c3d4dfcf3f88dda60679902ddc2c776d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 36c | 3,150$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.59 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,718$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 1,514$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 64c | 989.59$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.25 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 956.49$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 36c | 377.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 357.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 36c | 318.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 279.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 79c | 209.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 58c | 161.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 63c | 118.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 64c | 96.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 64c | 88.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 64c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 65c | 50.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 38.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 64c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: FC Dallas O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 5.5Over won
- Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)FC Dallas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.