TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Yes46c52,222$24,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,020.421353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No54c19,456$10,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,949.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No54c15,951$8,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,337.5217249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No57c4,364$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.622,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c4,207$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.211,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73618253.3%97 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes47c1,312$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.581,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,10149.7%547 W · 554 L+3.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No62c973.76$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c910$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.617658%102 W · 74 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes45c864.44$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38914037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32213154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No54c634$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.641580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27617147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c517.89$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.451,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c503.47$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.495,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No70c502.51$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.672857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+114.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23015150.3%76 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2304158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c449.61$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.821,76050.3%885 W · 875 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18421052.4%110 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18414353.8%77 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c364.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes42c358.17$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7811931.9%38 W · 81 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c304.79$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes37c267.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9684347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.614452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked No54c259.17$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.172657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes27c251.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682611.5%3 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-70.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c248.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.191,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.414951%76 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c224$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7892235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c200.36$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.891,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288119.8%16 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes46c190.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes35c160.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.853141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.612552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No54c156$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7618256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No54c156$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7614854.1%80 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes26c118.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92119%4 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-61.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No55c116.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.234946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No54c115.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0912852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No54c102.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.244560%27 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4642151.3%216 W · 205 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616155.9%90 W · 71 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3a…5678backed No54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110344.7%46 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81,95954.6%1,069 W · 890 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.810057%57 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa95a…6b78backed No54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes30c78.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.842425.9%110 W · 314 L-32.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes32c78.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4882053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c70.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8958243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No76c55.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.183956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes46c54.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked No57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No70c49.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9656245.4%255 W · 307 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes37c49.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0926147.9%125 W · 136 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes45c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes27c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5213349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes45c44.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-56.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbe70…bb1dbacked No55c40.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.412354.5%67 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No70c37.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2624448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No63c31.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.818241.5%34 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c31…2c03backed No54c31.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.814349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes36c29.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792524%6 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes46c29.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7154354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed No55c28.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.584744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked No78c22.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.932842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8255…cba9backed No54c22.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.161266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4514…a154backed No55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.210650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed No54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.