Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98b243e8933d97f78bf215a46daea677a33762b073be5fb438bea1d6bb5a7170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Yes | 26c | 4,895$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 3,420$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.48 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,814$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 1,066$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 984.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 805.91$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 25c | 640$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 365.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 365$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 77c | 260.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 80c | 221.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 67c | 137$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 131.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 26c | 130.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 102.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 83.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 17c | 77.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 75.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed No | 75c | 55.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 52.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 26c | 42.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 74c | 30.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 28.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 75c | 24.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 74c | 22.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 76c | 21.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked No | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 74c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked No | 75c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.