Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1e9e5419b210e7ecec54c798e2ef5d7efc4c633c35e289a883d4ab46101cf5

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,986 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	50c	18,835$9,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,365.59	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	47c	4,254$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,254.45	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-4.7wins	-0.21per pick	53cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under	53c	4,151$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-47%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	146	52.1%76 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	50c	1,773$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884.6	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	51c	1,699$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.34	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	51c	1,655$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.33	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under	49c	1,502$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.87	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	141	58.2%82 W · 59 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over	50c	1,152$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576	73	61.6%45 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under	51c	1,002$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.89	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	48c	1,000$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Over	50c	800$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404	170	62.4%106 W · 64 L	+13.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	51c	544.5$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.56	489	50.1%245 W · 244 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	51c	536$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.64	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Over	50c	485.5$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.93	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+269.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	45c	445.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	55c	407.69$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.46	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	179	59.8%107 W · 72 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	143	54.5%78 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	168	58.3%98 W · 70 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	144	59%85 W · 59 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	56c	393.6$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.53	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under	44c	363.6$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	56c	331.65$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.09	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under	56c	313.92$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-7.0wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over	50c	312$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	72	61.1%44 W · 28 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	51c	260.78$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.58	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	51c	255.98$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.43	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over	51c	235.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.29	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	200.03$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.46	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over	49c	193.2$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.43	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under	49c	186.84$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.68	216	48.6%105 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under	55c	178.44$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.89	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	50c	157$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.81	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	46c	147.72$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.39	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	73c	147$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.16	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under	50c	141.2$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.21	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	24c	136.54$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	64c	121.03$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	20c	113$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	49c	110.15$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.28	154	44.8%69 W · 85 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under	53c	103.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	52c	101.27$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.9	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	47c	93.61$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.9	141	44%62 W · 79 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48dd…98cebacked Under	53c	93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	59c	80.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	136	33.8%46 W · 90 L	-9.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Over	50c	80$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over	49c	75.57$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.39	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over	50c	72.86$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	98	51%50 W · 48 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	19c	68.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+13.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	50c	64$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under	20c	62.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	49c	61.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under	20c	53.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under	49c	48.61$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Under	48c	42.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	54c	42.11$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc604…9da5backed Over	62c	40.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	39c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.4	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	146	58.2%85 W · 61 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	138	58.7%81 W · 57 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…e969backed Under	49c	38.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	56c	37$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.46	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	55c	31.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.32	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	655	57.7%378 W · 277 L	+26.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Under	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62a8…4a14backed Over	58c	27.63$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.62	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	65cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	50c	25.93$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	54c	25.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.81	284	56.7%161 W · 123 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…bbecbacked Over	50c	25.05$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	47c	24.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	93	58.1%54 W · 39 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	47c	24.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	96	60.4%58 W · 38 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	47c	24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	834	59.4%495 W · 339 L	+25.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5this page
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event