Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53c5764c569022ffb8e01ffb5cef881b8336370be07ef538d9453db9cb1d23e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof FC Porto, Rio Ave FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Rio Ave FC | 57c | 10,546$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FC Porto | 43c | 3,955$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.42 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Porto | 51c | 1,864$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed FC Porto | 43c | 1,568$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.76 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Porto | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rio Ave FC | 47c | 963.65$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed FC Porto | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked FC Porto | 46c | 654.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Porto | 45c | 529.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Porto | 43c | 445.64$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed FC Porto | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Porto | 45c | 317.33$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Porto | 45c | 255$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked FC Porto | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed FC Porto | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed FC Porto | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Rio Ave FC | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked FC Porto | 43c | 156$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FC Porto | 43c | 103.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…6d8cbacked FC Porto | 45c | 98.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rio Ave FC | 16c | 65.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Rio Ave FC | 55c | 60.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed FC Porto | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Rio Ave FC | 57c | 52.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Porto | 60c | 50.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa693…eaaabacked Rio Ave FC | 40c | 50.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed FC Porto | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Rio Ave FC | 48c | 32.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Rio Ave FC | 48c | 32.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed FC Porto | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Rio Ave FC | 51c | 29.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed FC Porto | 49c | 29.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Porto | 42c | 29.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rio Ave FC | 57c | 28.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked FC Porto | 47c | 27.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed FC Porto | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC Porto | 67c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.