Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79fe0c8f1f3dadd1869fe2987299a9182097d9aaaa52796a6332e8490455fd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 70c | 18,516$13,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,484.86 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 12,350$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.62 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 2,797$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 2,010$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Over | 36c | 1,550$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.47 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 54c | 1,001$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 25c | 988.83$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 23c | 826.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 36c | 781.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 751$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 685.64$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 6c | 638.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 39c | 608.39$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.23 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Under | 70c | 444.16$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 373$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 32c | 340.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 46c | 254.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 29c | 193.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 43c | 184.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 54c | 144$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 76c | 138.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Over | 54c | 131.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Under | 47c | 130.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 72c | 128.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 119.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 59c | 118$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 47c | 106.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 22c | 91.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 83.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 82.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 70.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 67c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 30c | 63.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 61.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…c3f0backed Under | 74c | 56.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 34c | 56.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 51.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 43.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 46c | 27.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Over | 67c | 26.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 40c | 26.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…42debacked Under | 64c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Over | 53c | 22.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 46c | 22.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…9d37backed Under | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 61c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.