Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac40707fbd205f022967fd81586660a45c71129fe906bab332df2197fe06c545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 22c | 39,402$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.36 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 78c | 38,239$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,239.13 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 22,859$15,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 31c | 12,055$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724.41 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 7,366$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.67 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 6,720$4,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 4,101$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 5c | 2,627$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 69c | 2,475$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.25 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 2,417$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.93 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Under | 12c | 2,280$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 69c | 2,222$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 22c | 2,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.38 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 78c | 1,056$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 65c | 1,037$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 5c | 714.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 4c | 417.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked Over | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 69c | 277$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 23c | 249$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 14c | 216.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 207.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 199.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 185.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 172$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 59c | 166.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 48c | 165.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 28c | 158.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 78c | 148.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 122.09$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 81.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 48c | 74.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 50c | 72.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 68c | 61.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 70c | 55.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…0f85backed Over | 65c | 42.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…42debacked Under | 26c | 39.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 77c | 37.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 55c | 26.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 64c | 24.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 62c | 23.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 69c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 59c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Over | 70c | 19.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 0.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Rio Ave FC vs. FC Porto: Rio Ave FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Rio Ave FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.