Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5893b1c1f681987ecf09c755c4d55a7e1153c629baceca456702fdd7271717d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Yes | 39c | 10,131$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 61c | 1,568$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 60c | 1,160$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 818.52$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 60c | 569.4$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 514.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.17 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…fb26backed Yes | 8c | 378.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 345.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 61c | 156$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 35c | 137.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 61c | 129$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 91.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 56.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 36.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed No | 60c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…af4cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 60c | 16.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.