South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf898349b183bb5354e78faf78cc48a2aeee542fa9b49d462003aa0a64e663747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 4,110$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 2,883$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.32 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,990$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 57c | 1,568$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.76 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 1,497$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.35 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 1,371$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.15 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 59c | 703.5$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.6 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 65c | 572.34$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 25c | 463.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 49c | 385.71$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 41c | 309.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.37 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 57c | 299.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 258.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 66c | 230$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 227.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 56c | 199.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 13c | 178$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 167.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Over | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 132.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 44c | 128.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 102.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 73c | 102.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 48c | 92.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 60c | 75.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 41c | 38.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 42c | 36.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 28.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 70c | 25.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 52c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 50c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 53c | 20.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 18.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Barracas Central 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Barracas Central O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Barracas Central vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.